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Interbank foreign exchange rates:

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Updated Monday 12th May 2008

EURO / GB POUND 0.7909
GB POUNDS / EURO  1.2643
BRITISH POUND / US DOLLAR 1.9469
EURO / US DOLLAR   1.5390
GB POUND / JAPANESE YEN 201.56
GBP/AUD 2.0710
GBP/NZD 2.5401
GBP/ZAR 14.8936
GBP/CHF 2.0404
GBP/CAD 1.9629
GBP/SGD 2.6679
GBP/THB 62.32
GBP/HKD 15.1769

 

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Friday 27/04/2007

• Traders left scratching their heads as cable is hammered
• US dollar pulls away from all time lows against the euro
• MPC hawk Tucker changes his tone
• Sterling suffers heavily on the markets
• Soft Japanese data puts the yen under pressure
• Oil trades up then down on mixed news

US Dollar:

The performer of the day was undoubtedly the greenback. Cable managed to drop from a high of 2.0059 to a
low of 1.9890 in a matter of a few hours. With many traders left dumbfounded by the size of this move, reasons for it were few and far between. One explanation for the initial move may have been the failure of eurodollar to break all-time highs however sterling weakness may have been fuelled by rumours of an RBS bid for
ABN Amro. Dollar looks strong again this morning opening up on the majors. In addition a cheap dollar makes
US Treasury bonds attractive hence some heavy buying from global reserves.
A whole host of data due out from the US this afternoon, the primary movers should be the GDP price index
and the University of Michigan confidence figure. Growth may have dropped in the US.

Pound:

Well sterling took a beating yesterday. As outlined above cable dropped over a cent and a half in a matter of
hours. MPC hawk Tucker certainly didn’t help sterling by commenting that he saw interest rates as ‘near restrictive’
level at the height of the sterling sell-off. Tucker is considered as a MPC hawk and this seemingly
about-turn surprised markets somewhat. Another factor may have been rumours of an £80bn bid by RBS for
ABN Amro which would see sterling sold in favour of buying euros. Obviously sterling suffered against the
other crosses as a result; the euro posted gains and this morning is trading low 1.46 versus the pound.
No data is due out from the UK today so we should see some consolidation running into the weekend and no
doubt large investors will be reconsidering positions following the dollar move.

Euro:

A hawkish Yves Mersch of the ECB yesterday underlined the nature of the Bank commenting that
‘normalization of rates is not yet over’ and that the ECB could resume their hiking policy after the current
cycle ends. An article published overnight highlighting the risks to the Eurozone from a strong euro seems to
have gone unnoticed by financial markets.

General News:

• The yen suffered heavily overnight with some very weak retail sales data and comments from the BoJ
that inflationary pressures remain very weak. This morning BoJ Governor Fukui says rates will not rise
in the near-term.
• The Dow Jones extended it’s bull run yesterday pushing above 13,106 fuelled by a cheap dollar helping
exporters.
• Oil traded up then down yesterday as initially oil supplies from Iran looked under threat however gains
were given back as outages at US refineries cut production. Oil trades $65.12.

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